Comments on Video Game & DVD Collecting | Resale Price Analysis: Virtual Console's Effect On Game Resale Values

Thanks for the information you provide. Its really...

2009-05-30T11:08:00.500-06:00

Thanks for the information you provide. Its really help me a lot.

Regards
Jhon Ghosh

This stuff makes me wish I paid attention in maths...

2009-05-14T14:17:00.000-06:00

This stuff makes me wish I paid attention in maths class :o(

using your measurement, here's another look at the...

2009-05-13T15:58:00.000-06:00

using your measurement, here's another look at the price change divided up according to price range:

For $20+:
# = 8
Average start = 323.74/8 = 40.4675
Average change = -35.86/8 = -4.4825
% change = -11.1

Between $15 and $20:
# = 3
% change = 3.7

Between $10 and $15:
# = 6
% change = -3.5

Between $5 and $10:
# = 16
% change = 2.2

Between $0 and $5:
# = 27
% change = -15.7

the sample size is too small to make any definitive conclusions, but it looks like at the very least more change happens at the extremes (cheapest vs rarest), where both seem to lose value overall.

geozeldadude - thanks for the correction on the 6%...

2009-05-13T12:18:00.000-06:00

geozeldadude - thanks for the correction on the 6%. It was a typo based upon old data. The correct number has been added to the article and is a 9.6% drop. It is still not statistically significant.

The average before launch is $11.56 ($693.44/60). After launch it is $10.45 ($627.02/60). The average change is the % change from those two numbers, (10.45-11.56)/11.56

It looks like you might be calculating the average change by adding up the % changes and dividing by the number. That method won't work because it doesn't take into account the value of the games. Blades of Steel increased 68% but went from $0.80 to $1.35, while Mega Man increased 88% but went from $17 to $32.

how are you getting -6% overall? when i add all th...

2009-05-13T11:51:00.000-06:00

how are you getting -6% overall? when i add all the numbers in the rightmost column and divide by 60 i get 442/60 = 7.37.

anyway, my intuition was that games that are rare are going to see bigger drops in price after they're released on VC, b/c the demand for actual cartridges would go down. just looking over the list it seems like this would be true, but i wrote a quick script to calculate different ranges.

For $30 or higher:
# = 6
Average = -115/6 = -19.2

For < $30:
# = 54
Average = 557/54 = 10.3

---
For $20 or higher:
# = 9
Average = -154/9 = -17.1

For < $20:
# = 51
Average = 596/51 = 11.7

---
For $12 or higher:
# = 16
Average = -122/16 = -7.625

For < $12:
# = 44
Average = 564/44 = 12.8

---
For $10 or higher:
# = 18
Average = -205/18 = -11.4

For < $10:
# = 42
Average = 647/42 = 15.4

---
For $5 or higher:
# = 32
Average = -45/32 = -1.4

For < $5:
# = 28
Average = 487/28 = 17.4

not sure how statistically significant these numbers are, but i thought it was interesting.

The reason why there is no effect on resale prices...

2009-05-13T10:23:00.000-06:00

The reason why there is no effect on resale prices is because the limited wii space during that time. Some people, like myself, stop downloading because it was too much of a hassle to transfer games to the SD card and then delete from the console. By the time the SD card feature was enabled, many users got tired of waiting and just forgot about it and moved on to other things.

Another reason could be that many Wii owners don't know that the virtual console is available. They don't know about it. If i'm not mistaken avg Wii owner only has a select few games after purchase. Most likely Wii sports and Wii Fit.

That is just my opinion.

Wow, the Harvest Moon jump is pretty surprising. ...

2009-05-13T07:31:00.000-06:00

Wow, the Harvest Moon jump is pretty surprising.

I have to admit that I stopped looking for a few games after they hit the VC and grabbed them there instead (Super Turrican 2 and M.U.S.H.A. come to mind). I consider myself a collector, but more than that I'm a gamer... so less than $10 for some of these titles is too much to resist.